APP APP
$273.45 · scored 01:43 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 63/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 63/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+20.2 composite
Evidence
63 / 100 · top 14% today
8,637 contracts · quality 79 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.71% · n=2,487
What traded today · weight 62%
+21.0 pts
5,783 calls · 67.0% 2,854 puts
bias +33.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−0.9 pts
20,617 call OI · 48.9% 21,569 put OI
bias −2.3 × 0.38
Equals
+20.2
96% of the score comes from today’s volume, 4% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring APP today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (86th pct) · quality 79 · 8,637 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.71% avg, n=2,487
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on APP
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $273.45 highlighted. The $250 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,658). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
21 Oct · 4h
$273.45 → $273.45
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
APP
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+20.2 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.71% · n=2,487
Why it’s +20
+21.0 volume · 67% calls−0.9 OI · 49% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (86th pct) · quality 79 · 8,637 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.71% avg, n=2,487
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on APP
What traded today · 62%
+21.0 pts
5,783 calls · 2,854 puts · bias +33.9
What’s on the books · 38%
−0.9 pts
20,617 call OI · 21,569 put OI · bias −2.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$273.45 → $273.45
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $250 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about APP
Not enough tape history on APP for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our APP record what it is? What’s the $250 wall?