ARR
ARR
$13.56 · scored 07:39 · stale
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+16.2 composite
Evidence
64 / 100 · top 37% today
1,221 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.12% · n=34,613
What traded today · weight 62%
+9.5 pts
704 calls · 57.7%517 puts
bias +15.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+6.7 pts
18,067 call OI · 58.9%12,629 put OI
bias +17.7 × 0.38
Equals
+16.2
59% of the score comes from today’s volume, 41% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ARR today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 64 (63th pct) · quality 77 · 1,221 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidmildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.12% avg, n=34,613
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on ARR
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $13.56 highlighted. The $17 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 7,065). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
6 Oct · 4h
$13.56 → $13.56
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
ARR
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+16.2evidence 64
hasn’t paid −1.12% · n=34,613
Why it’s +16
+9.5 volume · 58% calls+6.7 OI · 59% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 64 (63th pct) · quality 77 · 1,221 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.12% avg, n=34,613
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on ARR
What traded today · 62%
+9.5 pts
704 calls · 517 puts · bias +15.3
What’s on the books · 38%
+6.7 pts
18,067 call OI · 12,629 put OI · bias +17.7
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
6 Oct · 4h
$13.56 → $13.56
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $17 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about ARR
Not enough tape history on ARR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.