CINF CINF
$161.61 · scored 11:26 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 48/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 48/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−35.5 composite
Evidence
48 / 100 · top 67% today
753 contracts · quality 74 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.78% · n=31,425
What traded today · weight 62%
−4.9 pts
347 calls · 46.1% 406 puts
bias −7.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−30.6 pts
42 call OI · 9.7% 392 put OI
bias −80.6 × 0.38
Equals
−35.5
14% of the score comes from today’s volume, 86% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring CINF today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 48 (33th pct) · quality 74 · 753 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.78% avg, n=31,425
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on CINF
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $161.61 highlighted. The $140 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 216). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on CINF Proof We haven’t checked a call on CINF yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
CINF
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−35.5 evidence
has paid −0.78% · n=31,425
Why it’s −36
−4.9 volume · 46% calls−30.6 OI · 10% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 48 (33th pct) · quality 74 · 753 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on CINF
What traded today · 62%
−4.9 pts
347 calls · 406 puts · bias −7.8
What’s on the books · 38%
−30.6 pts
42 call OI · 392 put OI · bias −80.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $140 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about CINF
Not enough tape history on CINF for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our CINF record what it is? What’s the $140 wall?