ETSY ETSY
$82.93 · scored 08:01 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 48/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 48/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+54.0 composite
Evidence
48 / 100 · top 52% today
4,997 contracts · quality 72 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
What traded today · weight 62%
+33.5 pts
3,848 calls · 77.0% 1,149 puts
bias +54.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
No open interest stored for today’s chain.
Equals
+54.0
100% of the score comes from today’s volume, 0% from open interest. Smoothing and calibration add +20.5. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ETSY today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 48 (48th pct) · quality 72 · 4,997 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 29
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on ETSY
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $82.93 highlighted. The $55 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 0). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on ETSY Proof We haven’t checked a call on ETSY yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
ETSY
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+54.0 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
Why it’s +54
+33.5 volume · 77% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 48 (48th pct) · quality 72 · 4,997 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 29
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on ETSY
What traded today · 62%
+33.5 pts
3,848 calls · 1,149 puts · bias +54.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $55 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ETSY
Not enough tape history on ETSY for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our ETSY record what it is? What’s the $55 wall?