EXPD
EXPD
$196.81 · scored 03:34 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 52/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 52/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+40.3 composite
Evidence
52 / 100 · top 45% today
58 contracts · quality 73 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.02% · n=74,862
What traded today · weight 62%
+19.2 pts
38 calls · 65.5%20 puts
bias +31.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+21.0 pts
3,219 call OI · 77.6%927 put OI
bias +55.3 × 0.38
Equals
+40.3
48% of the score comes from today’s volume, 52% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring EXPD today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 52 (55th pct) · quality 73 · 58 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.02% avg, n=74,862
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on EXPD
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $196.81 highlighted. The $195 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 777).
05Our record on EXPD
Proof We haven’t checked a call on EXPD yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
EXPD
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+40.3evidence 52
hasn’t paid −0.02% · n=74,862
Why it’s +40
+19.2 volume · 66% calls+21.0 OI · 78% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 52 (55th pct) · quality 73 · 58 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.02% avg, n=74,862
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on EXPD
What traded today · 62%
+19.2 pts
38 calls · 20 puts · bias +31.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+21.0 pts
3,219 call OI · 927 put OI · bias +55.3
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $195 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about EXPD
Not enough tape history on EXPD for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.