HOPE HOPE
$13.28 · scored 06:07 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 31/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 31/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+8.3 composite
Evidence
31 / 100 · top 95% today
87 contracts · quality 40 · stability 0.00
neutral · −1.07% · n=1,644
What traded today · weight 62%
+46.3 pts
76 calls · 87.4% 11 puts
bias +74.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−38.0 pts
0 call OI · 0.0% 10 put OI
bias −100.0 × 0.38
Equals
+8.3
55% of the score comes from today’s volume, 45% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring HOPE today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 31 (5th pct) · quality 40 · 87 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.07% avg, n=1,644
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on HOPE
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $13.28 highlighted. The $12.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 9). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on HOPE Proof 12 Oct · 4h
$13.28 → $13.28
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
HOPE
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+8.3 evidence
neutral · −1.07% · n=1,644
Why it’s +8
+46.3 volume · 87% calls−38.0 OI · 0% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 31 (5th pct) · quality 40 · 87 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.07% avg, n=1,644
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on HOPE
What traded today · 62%
+46.3 pts
76 calls · 11 puts · bias +74.7
What’s on the books · 38%
−38.0 pts
0 call OI · 10 put OI · bias −100.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
12 Oct · 4h
$13.28 → $13.28
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $12.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HOPE
Not enough tape history on HOPE for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our HOPE record what it is? What’s the $12.5 wall?