HTGC HTGC
$16.34 · scored 08:01 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 55/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 55/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−63.7 composite
Evidence
55 / 100 · top 35% today
3,225 contracts · quality 76 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
What traded today · weight 62%
−28.5 pts
870 calls · 27.0% 2,355 puts
bias −46.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−35.2 pts
12 call OI · 3.7% 312 put OI
bias −92.6 × 0.38
Equals
−63.7
45% of the score comes from today’s volume, 55% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring HTGC today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (65th pct) · quality 76 · 3,225 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 26
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=15,572
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on HTGC
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $16.34 highlighted. The $9 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 186). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on HTGC Proof We haven’t checked a call on HTGC yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
HTGC
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−63.7 evidence
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
Why it’s −64
−28.5 volume · 27% calls−35.2 OI · 4% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (65th pct) · quality 76 · 3,225 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 26
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on HTGC
What traded today · 62%
−28.5 pts
870 calls · 2,355 puts · bias −46.0
What’s on the books · 38%
−35.2 pts
12 call OI · 312 put OI · bias −92.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $9 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HTGC
Not enough tape history on HTGC for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our HTGC record what it is? What’s the $9 wall?