HTLD HTLD
$10.88 · scored 08:04 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+50.5 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 71% today
97 contracts · quality 48 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
What traded today · weight 62%
+13.4 pts
59 calls · 60.8% 38 puts
bias +21.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+37.1 pts
81 call OI · 98.8% 1 put OI
bias +97.6 × 0.38
Equals
+50.5
27% of the score comes from today’s volume, 73% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring HTLD today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 42 (29th pct) · quality 48 · 97 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on HTLD
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $10.88 highlighted. The $22.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 40). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on HTLD Proof We haven’t checked a call on HTLD yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
HTLD
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+50.5 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
Why it’s +51
+13.4 volume · 61% calls+37.1 OI · 99% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 42 (29th pct) · quality 48 · 97 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on HTLD
What traded today · 62%
+13.4 pts
59 calls · 38 puts · bias +21.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+37.1 pts
81 call OI · 1 put OI · bias +97.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $22.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about HTLD
Not enough tape history on HTLD for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our HTLD record what it is? What’s the $22.5 wall?