KALU
KALU
$153.77 · scored 06:04 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−84.0 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 83% today
12 contracts · quality 28 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.20% · n=60,767
What traded today · weight 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 0.0%12 puts
bias −100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−22.0 pts
60 call OI · 21.1%225 put OI
bias −57.9 × 0.38
Equals
−84.0
74% of the score comes from today’s volume, 26% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring KALU today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 42 (17th pct) · quality 28 · 12 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.20% avg, n=60,767
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on KALU
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $153.77 highlighted. The $150 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 219). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on KALU
Proof
7 Oct · 4h
$153.77 → $153.77
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
KALU
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−84.0evidence 42
has paid −0.20% · n=60,767
Why it’s −84
−62.0 volume · 0% calls−22.0 OI · 21% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 42 (17th pct) · quality 28 · 12 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on KALU
What traded today · 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 12 puts · bias −100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
−22.0 pts
60 call OI · 225 put OI · bias −57.9
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
7 Oct · 4h
$153.77 → $153.77
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $150 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about KALU
Not enough tape history on KALU for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.