KREF KREF
$5.97 · +0.00% vs $5.97 close · scored 06:08 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−17.7 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 73% today
89 contracts · quality 44 · stability 0.00
not enough history
What traded today · weight 62%
+17.4 pts
57 calls · 64.0% 32 puts
bias +28.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−35.1 pts
5 call OI · 3.8% 127 put OI
bias −92.4 × 0.38
Equals
−17.7
33% of the score comes from today’s volume, 67% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring KREF today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 42 (27th pct) · quality 44 · 89 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
note No calibration for this kind of read yet the matching bucket has too few samples
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on KREF
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $5.97 highlighted. The $10 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 130). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on KREF Proof 12 Oct · 4h
$5.97 → $5.97
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
KREF
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−17.7 evidence
not enough history
Why it’s −18
+17.4 volume · 64% calls−35.1 OI · 4% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 42 (27th pct) · quality 44 · 89 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
note No calibration for this kind of read yet the matching bucket has too few samples
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on KREF
What traded today · 62%
+17.4 pts
57 calls · 32 puts · bias +28.1
What’s on the books · 38%
−35.1 pts
5 call OI · 127 put OI · bias −92.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
12 Oct · 4h
$5.97 → $5.97
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about KREF
Not enough tape history on KREF for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our KREF record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?