MBWM
MBWM
$59.09 · +0.00% vs $59.09 close · scored 05:11 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 40/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 40/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+65.9 composite
Evidence
40 / 100 · top 87% today
12 contracts · quality 40 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.63% · n=217,051
What traded today · weight 62%
+41.3 pts
10 calls · 83.3%2 puts
bias +66.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+24.6 pts
28 call OI · 82.4%6 put OI
bias +64.7 × 0.38
Equals
+65.9
63% of the score comes from today’s volume, 37% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MBWM today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 40 (13th pct) · quality 40 · 12 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.63% avg, n=217,051
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on MBWM
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $59.09 highlighted. The $60 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 25). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on MBWM
Proof
6 Oct · 4h
$59.09 → $59.09
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
MBWM
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+65.9evidence 40
hasn’t paid −0.63% · n=217,051
Why it’s +66
+41.3 volume · 83% calls+24.6 OI · 82% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 40 (13th pct) · quality 40 · 12 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.63% avg, n=217,051
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on MBWM
What traded today · 62%
+41.3 pts
10 calls · 2 puts · bias +66.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+24.6 pts
28 call OI · 6 put OI · bias +64.7
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
6 Oct · 4h
$59.09 → $59.09
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $60 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about MBWM
Not enough tape history on MBWM for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.