MCS
MCS
$28.02 · +0.00% vs $28.02 close · scored 17:27 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 29/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 29/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−36.7 composite
Evidence
29 / 100 · top 97% today
25 contracts · quality 55 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.38% · n=14,059
What traded today · weight 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 0.0%25 puts
bias −100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+25.3 pts
224 call OI · 83.3%45 put OI
bias +66.5 × 0.38
Equals
−36.7
71% of the score comes from today’s volume, 29% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MCS today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 29 (3th pct) · quality 55 · 25 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.38% avg, n=14,059
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on MCS
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $28.02 highlighted. The $22.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 146). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
17 Oct · 4h
$28.02 → $28.02
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
MCS
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−36.7evidence 29
has paid −0.38% · n=14,059
Why it’s −37
−62.0 volume · 0% calls+25.3 OI · 83% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 29 (3th pct) · quality 55 · 25 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on MCS
What traded today · 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 25 puts · bias −100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+25.3 pts
224 call OI · 45 put OI · bias +66.5
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
17 Oct · 4h
$28.02 → $28.02
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $22.5 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about MCS
Not enough tape history on MCS for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.