MDU MDU
$18.54 · scored 08:41 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 38/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 38/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+21.1 composite
Evidence
38 / 100 · top 80% today
118 contracts · quality 47 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.09% · n=8,758
What traded today · weight 62%
+8.4 pts
67 calls · 56.8% 51 puts
bias +13.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+12.7 pts
2 call OI · 66.7% 1 put OI
bias +33.3 × 0.38
Equals
+21.1
40% of the score comes from today’s volume, 60% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MDU today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 38 (20th pct) · quality 47 · 118 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.09% avg, n=8,758
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MDU
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $18.54 highlighted. The $17.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on MDU yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
MDU
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+21.1 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.09% · n=8,758
Why it’s +21
+8.4 volume · 57% calls+12.7 OI · 67% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 38 (20th pct) · quality 47 · 118 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.09% avg, n=8,758
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on MDU
What traded today · 62%
+8.4 pts
67 calls · 51 puts · bias +13.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+12.7 pts
2 call OI · 1 put OI · bias +33.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $17.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MDU
Not enough tape history on MDU for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MDU record what it is? What’s the $17.5 wall?