MTDR MTDR
$55.11 · scored 07:38 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 56/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 56/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+42.0 composite
Evidence
56 / 100 · top 42% today
1,603 contracts · quality 74 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=83,764
What traded today · weight 62%
+23.2 pts
1,101 calls · 68.7% 502 puts
bias +37.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+18.8 pts
83 call OI · 74.8% 28 put OI
bias +49.5 × 0.38
Equals
+42.0
55% of the score comes from today’s volume, 45% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MTDR today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (58th pct) · quality 74 · 1,603 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=83,764
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on MTDR
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $55.11 highlighted. The $40 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 57). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on MTDR Proof 13 Oct · 4h
$55.11 → $55.11
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
MTDR
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+42.0 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=83,764
Why it’s +42
+23.2 volume · 69% calls+18.8 OI · 75% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (58th pct) · quality 74 · 1,603 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=83,764
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on MTDR
What traded today · 62%
+23.2 pts
1,101 calls · 502 puts · bias +37.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+18.8 pts
83 call OI · 28 put OI · bias +49.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
13 Oct · 4h
$55.11 → $55.11
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $40 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MTDR
Not enough tape history on MTDR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MTDR record what it is? What’s the $40 wall?