NCLH
NCLH
$15.04 · +0.00% vs $15.04 close · scored 16:59 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 74/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 74/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, well evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+13.2 composite
Evidence
74 / 100 · top 5% today
25,108 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.55% · n=2,677
What traded today · weight 62%
+11.1 pts
14,792 calls · 58.9%10,316 puts
bias +17.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+2.1 pts
324,926 call OI · 52.8%290,613 put OI
bias +5.6 × 0.38
Equals
+13.2
84% of the score comes from today’s volume, 16% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring NCLH today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
passPlenty behind itconfidence 74 (95th pct) · quality 82 · 25,108 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidmildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.55% avg, n=2,677
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on NCLH
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $15.04 highlighted. The $15 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 94,220). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on NCLH
Proof
17 Oct · 4h
$15.04 → $15.04
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
NCLH
Mildly bullish, well evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+13.2evidence 74
hasn’t paid −1.55% · n=2,677
Why it’s +13
+11.1 volume · 59% calls+2.1 OI · 53% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
passPlenty behind it
confidence 74 (95th pct) · quality 82 · 25,108 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.55% avg, n=2,677
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on NCLH
What traded today · 62%
+11.1 pts
14,792 calls · 10,316 puts · bias +17.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+2.1 pts
324,926 call OI · 290,613 put OI · bias +5.6
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
17 Oct · 4h
$15.04 → $15.04
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $15 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about NCLH
Not enough tape history on NCLH for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.