ORA ORA
$87.31 · scored 02:02 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 63/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 63/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−51.2 composite
Evidence
63 / 100 · top 14% today
1,633 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.42% · n=13,233
What traded today · weight 62%
−40.5 pts
283 calls · 17.3% 1,350 puts
bias −65.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−10.7 pts
4,590 call OI · 35.9% 8,186 put OI
bias −28.1 × 0.38
Equals
−51.2
79% of the score comes from today’s volume, 21% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ORA today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (86th pct) · quality 77 · 1,633 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.42% avg, n=13,233
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on ORA
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $87.31 highlighted. The $105 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 5,232).
21 Oct · 4h
$87.31 → $87.31
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
ORA
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−51.2 evidence
has paid −0.42% · n=13,233
Why it’s −51
−40.5 volume · 17% calls−10.7 OI · 36% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (86th pct) · quality 77 · 1,633 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on ORA
What traded today · 62%
−40.5 pts
283 calls · 1,350 puts · bias −65.3
What’s on the books · 38%
−10.7 pts
4,590 call OI · 8,186 put OI · bias −28.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$87.31 → $87.31
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $105 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ORA
Not enough tape history on ORA for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our ORA record what it is? What’s the $105 wall?