PCAR PCAR
$108.13 · scored 08:06 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 49/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 49/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+36.6 composite
Evidence
49 / 100 · top 57% today
255 contracts · quality 51 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=83,764
What traded today · weight 62%
+39.6 pts
209 calls · 82.0% 46 puts
bias +63.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−3.0 pts
3,413 call OI · 46.1% 3,997 put OI
bias −7.9 × 0.38
Equals
+36.6
93% of the score comes from today’s volume, 7% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring PCAR today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 49 (43th pct) · quality 51 · 255 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=83,764
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on PCAR
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $108.13 highlighted. The $110 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 4,125). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on PCAR Proof 13 Oct · 4h
$108.13 → $108.13
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
PCAR
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+36.6 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=83,764
Why it’s +37
+39.6 volume · 82% calls−3.0 OI · 46% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 49 (43th pct) · quality 51 · 255 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=83,764
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on PCAR
What traded today · 62%
+39.6 pts
209 calls · 46 puts · bias +63.9
What’s on the books · 38%
−3.0 pts
3,413 call OI · 3,997 put OI · bias −7.9
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
13 Oct · 4h
$108.13 → $108.13
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $110 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PCAR
Not enough tape history on PCAR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our PCAR record what it is? What’s the $110 wall?