PODD PODD
$142.64 · scored 02:03 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 49/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 49/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+1.5 composite
Evidence
49 / 100 · top 52% today
1,267 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
neutral · −2.16% · n=8,572
What traded today · weight 62%
+5.8 pts
693 calls · 54.7% 574 puts
bias +9.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−4.3 pts
3,108 call OI · 44.3% 3,901 put OI
bias −11.3 × 0.38
Equals
+1.5
58% of the score comes from today’s volume, 42% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring PODD today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 49 (48th pct) · quality 77 · 1,267 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → −2.16% avg, n=8,572
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on PODD
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $142.64 highlighted. The $125 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 994).
05 Our record on PODD Proof 21 Oct · 4h
$142.64 → $142.64
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
PODD
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+1.5 evidence
neutral · −2.16% · n=8,572
Why it’s +2
+5.8 volume · 55% calls−4.3 OI · 44% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 49 (48th pct) · quality 77 · 1,267 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → −2.16% avg, n=8,572
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on PODD
What traded today · 62%
+5.8 pts
693 calls · 574 puts · bias +9.4
What’s on the books · 38%
−4.3 pts
3,108 call OI · 3,901 put OI · bias −11.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$142.64 → $142.64
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $125 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PODD
Not enough tape history on PODD for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our PODD record what it is? What’s the $125 wall?