PSMT
PSMT
$168.88 · +0.00% vs $168.88 close · scored 10:29 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−12.0 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 73% today
92 contracts · quality 58 · stability 0.00
not enough history
What traded today · weight 62%
+12.1 pts
55 calls · 59.8%37 puts
bias +19.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−24.2 pts
57 call OI · 18.2%256 put OI
bias −63.6 × 0.38
Equals
−12.0
33% of the score comes from today’s volume, 67% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring PSMT today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 42 (27th pct) · quality 58 · 92 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
noteNo calibration for this kind of read yetthe matching bucket has too few samples
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on PSMT
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $168.88 highlighted. The $110 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 252). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on PSMT
Proof
12 Oct · 4h
$168.88 → $168.88
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
PSMT
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−12.0evidence 42
not enough history
Why it’s −12
+12.1 volume · 60% calls−24.2 OI · 18% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 42 (27th pct) · quality 58 · 92 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
noteNo calibration for this kind of read yet
the matching bucket has too few samples
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on PSMT
What traded today · 62%
+12.1 pts
55 calls · 37 puts · bias +19.6
What’s on the books · 38%
−24.2 pts
57 call OI · 256 put OI · bias −63.6
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
12 Oct · 4h
$168.88 → $168.88
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $110 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about PSMT
Not enough tape history on PSMT for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.