REFR
REFR
$0.63 · scored 13:41 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 48/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 48/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+75.9 composite
Evidence
48 / 100 · top 53% today
32 contracts · quality 43 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
What traded today · weight 62%
+38.8 pts
26 calls · 81.3%6 puts
bias +62.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+37.2 pts
891 call OI · 98.9%10 put OI
bias +97.8 × 0.38
Equals
+75.9
51% of the score comes from today’s volume, 49% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring REFR today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 48 (47th pct) · quality 43 · 32 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on REFR
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $0.63 highlighted. The $2.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 851). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on REFR
Proof We haven’t checked a call on REFR yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
REFR
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+75.9evidence 48
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
Why it’s +76
+38.8 volume · 81% calls+37.2 OI · 99% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 48 (47th pct) · quality 43 · 32 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on REFR
What traded today · 62%
+38.8 pts
26 calls · 6 puts · bias +62.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+37.2 pts
891 call OI · 10 put OI · bias +97.8
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $2.5 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about REFR
Not enough tape history on REFR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.