ROG
ROG
$139.72 · scored 04:57 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 24/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 24/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−41.6 composite
Evidence
24 / 100 · top 100% today
1 contracts · quality 29 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
What traded today · weight 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 0.0%1 puts
bias −100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+20.4 pts
196 call OI · 76.9%59 put OI
bias +53.7 × 0.38
Equals
−41.6
75% of the score comes from today’s volume, 25% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ROG today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 24 (0th pct) · quality 29 · 1 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=15,572
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on ROG
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $139.72 highlighted. The $165 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 63). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on ROG yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
ROG
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−41.6evidence 24
has paid −0.25% · n=15,572
Why it’s −42
−62.0 volume · 0% calls+20.4 OI · 77% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 24 (0th pct) · quality 29 · 1 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on ROG
What traded today · 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 1 puts · bias −100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+20.4 pts
196 call OI · 59 put OI · bias +53.7
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $165 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about ROG
Not enough tape history on ROG for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.