SIGA
SIGA
$3.14 · +0.00% vs $3.14 close · scored 04:26 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 56/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 56/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+86.1 composite
Evidence
56 / 100 · top 32% today
176 contracts · quality 73 · stability 0.00
has paid +0.05% · n=56,175
What traded today · weight 62%
+55.0 pts
166 calls · 94.3%10 puts
bias +88.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+31.1 pts
8,064 call OI · 91.0%800 put OI
bias +81.9 × 0.38
Equals
+86.1
64% of the score comes from today’s volume, 36% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring SIGA today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 56 (68th pct) · quality 73 · 176 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.05% avg, n=56,175
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on SIGA
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $3.14 highlighted. The $8.80 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,646).
05Our record on SIGA
Proof
22 Oct · 4h
$3.14 → $3.14
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
SIGA
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+86.1evidence 56
has paid +0.05% · n=56,175
Why it’s +86
+55.0 volume · 94% calls+31.1 OI · 91% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 56 (68th pct) · quality 73 · 176 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on SIGA
What traded today · 62%
+55.0 pts
166 calls · 10 puts · bias +88.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+31.1 pts
8,064 call OI · 800 put OI · bias +81.9
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$3.14 → $3.14
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $8.8 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about SIGA
Not enough tape history on SIGA for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.