SITM
SITM
$497.11 · scored 01:53 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 54/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 54/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−6.6 composite
Evidence
54 / 100 · top 37% today
1,772 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
neutral · −2.36% · n=9,769
What traded today · weight 62%
−5.5 pts
808 calls · 45.6%964 puts
bias −8.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−1.2 pts
4,598 call OI · 48.5%4,888 put OI
bias −3.1 × 0.38
Equals
−6.6
82% of the score comes from today’s volume, 18% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring SITM today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 54 (63th pct) · quality 77 · 1,772 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 61
noteNeutral reads make no callneutral · balanced · low liquidity → −2.36% avg, n=9,769
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on SITM
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $497.11 highlighted. The $540 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 746).
05Our record on SITM
Proof
21 Oct · 4h
$497.11 → $497.11
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
SITM
Neutral, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−6.6evidence 54
neutral · −2.36% · n=9,769
Why it’s −7
−5.5 volume · 46% calls−1.2 OI · 48% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 54 (63th pct) · quality 77 · 1,772 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 61
noteNeutral reads make no call
neutral · balanced · low liquidity → −2.36% avg, n=9,769
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on SITM
What traded today · 62%
−5.5 pts
808 calls · 964 puts · bias −8.8
What’s on the books · 38%
−1.2 pts
4,598 call OI · 4,888 put OI · bias −3.1
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$497.11 → $497.11
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $540 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about SITM
Not enough tape history on SITM for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.