SON
SON
$48.02 · scored 05:41 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 49/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 49/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−27.0 composite
Evidence
49 / 100 · top 71% today
270 contracts · quality 56 · stability 0.00
not enough history
What traded today · weight 62%
+11.0 pts
159 calls · 58.9%111 puts
bias +17.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−38.0 pts
0 call OI · 0.0%44 put OI
bias −100.0 × 0.38
Equals
−27.0
22% of the score comes from today’s volume, 78% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring SON today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 49 (29th pct) · quality 56 · 270 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
noteNo calibration for this kind of read yetthe matching bucket has too few samples
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on SON
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $48.02 highlighted. The $30 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 37). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
7 Oct · 4h
$48.02 → $48.02
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
SON
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−27.0evidence 49
not enough history
Why it’s −27
+11.0 volume · 59% calls−38.0 OI · 0% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 49 (29th pct) · quality 56 · 270 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
noteNo calibration for this kind of read yet
the matching bucket has too few samples
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on SON
What traded today · 62%
+11.0 pts
159 calls · 111 puts · bias +17.8
What’s on the books · 38%
−38.0 pts
0 call OI · 44 put OI · bias −100.0
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
7 Oct · 4h
$48.02 → $48.02
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $30 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about SON
Not enough tape history on SON for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.