STEM STEM
$4.06 · scored 08:07 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 33/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 33/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−34.2 composite
Evidence
33 / 100 · top 91% today
21 contracts · quality 44 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid +0.73% · n=18,463
What traded today · weight 62%
−44.3 pts
3 calls · 14.3% 18 puts
bias −71.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+10.1 pts
403 call OI · 63.3% 234 put OI
bias +26.5 × 0.38
Equals
−34.2
81% of the score comes from today’s volume, 19% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring STEM today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 33 (9th pct) · quality 44 · 21 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.73% avg, n=18,463
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on STEM
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $4.06 highlighted. The $5 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 324). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on STEM Proof 13 Oct · 4h
$4.06 → $4.06
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
STEM
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−34.2 evidence
hasn’t paid +0.73% · n=18,463
Why it’s −34
−44.3 volume · 14% calls+10.1 OI · 63% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 33 (9th pct) · quality 44 · 21 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.73% avg, n=18,463
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on STEM
What traded today · 62%
−44.3 pts
3 calls · 18 puts · bias −71.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+10.1 pts
403 call OI · 234 put OI · bias +26.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
13 Oct · 4h
$4.06 → $4.06
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about STEM
Not enough tape history on STEM for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our STEM record what it is? What’s the $5 wall?