TAL TAL
$12.64 · scored 10:40 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 47/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 47/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−33.0 composite
Evidence
47 / 100 · top 61% today
636 contracts · quality 60 · stability 0.00
has paid −2.63% · n=1,958
What traded today · weight 62%
−2.5 pts
305 calls · 48.0% 331 puts
bias −4.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−30.5 pts
22 call OI · 9.9% 200 put OI
bias −80.2 × 0.38
Equals
−33.0
8% of the score comes from today’s volume, 92% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring TAL today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 47 (39th pct) · quality 60 · 636 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → −2.63% avg, n=1,958
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on TAL
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $12.64 highlighted. The $8 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 201). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on TAL yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
TAL
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−33.0 evidence
has paid −2.63% · n=1,958
Why it’s −33
−2.5 volume · 48% calls−30.5 OI · 10% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 47 (39th pct) · quality 60 · 636 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on TAL
What traded today · 62%
−2.5 pts
305 calls · 331 puts · bias −4.1
What’s on the books · 38%
−30.5 pts
22 call OI · 200 put OI · bias −80.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $8 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about TAL
Not enough tape history on TAL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our TAL record what it is? What’s the $8 wall?