TXNM TXNM
$58.57 · scored 08:11 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 31/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 31/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−17.8 composite
Evidence
31 / 100 · top 94% today
114 contracts · quality 47 · stability 0.00
has paid −1.36% · n=4,337
What traded today · weight 62%
−45.7 pts
15 calls · 13.2% 99 puts
bias −73.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+27.9 pts
39 call OI · 86.7% 6 put OI
bias +73.3 × 0.38
Equals
−17.8
62% of the score comes from today’s volume, 38% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring TXNM today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 31 (6th pct) · quality 47 · 114 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
pass This kind of read has paid mildly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −1.36% avg, n=4,337
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on TXNM
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $58.57 highlighted. The $55 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 21). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on TXNM Proof We haven’t checked a call on TXNM yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
TXNM
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−17.8 evidence 31
has paid −1.36% · n=4,337
Why it’s −18
−45.7 volume · 13% calls+27.9 OI · 87% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 31 (6th pct) · quality 47 · 114 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on TXNM
What traded today · 62%
−45.7 pts
15 calls · 99 puts · bias −73.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+27.9 pts
39 call OI · 6 put OI · bias +73.3
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $55 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about TXNM
Not enough tape history on TXNM for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our TXNM record what it is? What’s the $55 wall?