UMH UMH
$15.24 · scored 11:51 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−29.8 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 71% today
112 contracts · quality 46 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.32% · n=13,908
What traded today · weight 62%
−26.6 pts
32 calls · 28.6% 80 puts
bias −42.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−3.3 pts
32 call OI · 45.7% 38 put OI
bias −8.6 × 0.38
Equals
−29.8
89% of the score comes from today’s volume, 11% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring UMH today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 42 (29th pct) · quality 46 · 112 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.32% avg, n=13,908
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on UMH
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $15.24 highlighted. The $12.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 52).
We haven’t checked a call on UMH yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
UMH
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−29.8 evidence
has paid −0.32% · n=13,908
Why it’s −30
−26.6 volume · 29% calls−3.3 OI · 46% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 42 (29th pct) · quality 46 · 112 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on UMH
What traded today · 62%
−26.6 pts
32 calls · 80 puts · bias −42.9
What’s on the books · 38%
−3.3 pts
32 call OI · 38 put OI · bias −8.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $12.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about UMH
Not enough tape history on UMH for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our UMH record what it is? What’s the $12.5 wall?