ABBV AbbVie Inc
$274.62 · +0.80% vs $272.45 close · scored 15:44 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 62/100
What changed
Composite weakened 11.4 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 62/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−4.2 composite┆ +7.2 yesterday (−11.4) −24.5 vs a week ago
Evidence
62 / 100 · top 32% today
3,218 contracts · quality 87 · stability 0.85
neutral · +9.94% · n=4,567
What traded today · weight 62%
−10.8 pts
1,329 calls · 41.3% 1,889 puts
bias −17.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+6.6 pts
30,230 call OI · 58.7% 21,261 put OI
bias +17.4 × 0.38
Equals
−4.2
62% of the score comes from today’s volume, 38% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +8.56% · tape −36.3 · corr -0.20
▼ low −24.3 ◆ −61.7 in a day ● peak +62 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $272 $249 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 8.56% while the tape has faded 36.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 62 (68th pct) · quality 87 · 3,218 contracts
pass Stable 0.85 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 74
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +9.94% avg, n=4,567
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led ABBV’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.32, n=45)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on ABBV is poor 9% hit rate on 815 closed calls · payoff 0.44×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $274.62 highlighted. The $260 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 5,217). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on ABBV Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$274.62 → $274.62
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$272.42 → $274.62
+0.81% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$272.42 → $274.62
+0.81% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$272.42 → $274.62
+0.81% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 189 of these 815 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 73.60 · fwd 16.93 Beta 0.200
52w $190.75–$269.39 IV rank —
Ask about ABBV answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +20 to −4 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +21.8 on 3 Oct, then fell to +4.8 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $262.82 to $262.82. It’s at −4.2 now.−10.8 from volume and +6.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 15:44 method · 62/38
Compare with PURR Why is our ABBV record what it is? What’s the $260 wall?
What our data projects
−0.60 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#604 of 635 · helped by quality, tape composite. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $260 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
AbbVie Inc · Biotechnology
Neutral, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−4.2 ┆ +7.2 yday evidence
neutral · +9.94% · n=4,567
Why it’s −4
−10.8 volume · 41% calls+6.6 OI · 59% calls
46 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −61.7 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $272 $249 Price +8.56%, tape −36.3 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 62 (68th pct) · quality 87 · 3,218 contracts
pass Stable 0.85 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 74
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +9.94% avg, n=4,567
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led ABBV’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.32, n=45)
What traded today · 62%
−10.8 pts
1,329 calls · 1,889 puts · bias −17.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+6.6 pts
30,230 call OI · 21,261 put OI · bias +17.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +8.56% · tape −36.3 · corr -0.20
▼ low −24.3 ◆ −61.7 in a day ● peak +62 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-22 09-29 10-06 10-09 $272 $249 Over 30 days, price has risen 8.56% while the tape has faded 36.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
9% hit rate · 815 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$274.62 → $274.62
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$272.42 → $274.62
+0.81% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$272.42 → $274.62
+0.81% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$272.42 → $274.62
+0.81% hit
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $260 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ABBV
Why did the score drop from +20 to −4 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +21.8 on 3 Oct, then fell to +4.8 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $262.82 to $262.82. It’s at −4.2 now.−10.8 from volume and +6.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 15:44 method · 62/38
Compare with PURR Why is our ABBV record what it is? What’s the $260 wall?