ABCL Abcellera Biologics Inc
$13.78 · +7.40% vs $12.83 close · scored 12:44 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 74/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 74/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+36.1 composite┆ +36.1 yesterday (+0.0) +19.7 vs a week ago
Evidence
74 / 100 · top 9% today
4,380 contracts · quality 89 · stability 0.85
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
What traded today · weight 62%
+27.2 pts
3,150 calls · 71.9% 1,230 puts
bias +43.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+9.0 pts
88,460 call OI · 61.8% 54,730 put OI
bias +23.6 × 0.38
Equals
+36.1
75% of the score comes from today’s volume, 25% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +15.91% · tape +4.3 · corr -0.49
▼ low −30.1 ◆ +72.1 in a day ● peak +58 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-11 $15 $11 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 15.91% while the tape has barely moved (+4.3). They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 74 (91th pct) · quality 89 · 4,380 contracts
pass Stable 0.85 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.01% avg, n=91,227
pass Tape has led price tape has led ABCL’s price by 1 day (r=-0.29, n=45)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
note Our record on ABCL is mixed 37% hit rate on 930 closed calls · payoff 0.67×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $13.78 highlighted. The $7 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 25,300). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on ABCL Proof 11 Oct · 4h
$12.55 → $12.55
+0.00% flat
8 Oct · 4h
$12.83 → $12.83
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$13.74 → $13.74
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$13.74 → $13.74
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 234 of these 930 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — Beta 1.558
52w $2.75–$15.02 IV rank —
Ask about ABCL answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s +36.1?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 0.5 points of +36.1 across the last 8 sessions.+27.2 from volume and +9.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 12:44 method · 62/38
Compare with PACB Why is our ABCL record what it is? What’s the $7 wall?
What our data projects
+0.86 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#10 of 724 · helped by tape composite, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $7 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Abcellera Biologics Inc · Life Sciences Tools & Services
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+36.1 ┆ +36.1 yday evidence
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
Why it’s +36
+27.2 volume · 72% calls+9.0 OI · 62% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +72.1 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-11 $15 $11 Price +15.91%, tape +4.3 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 74 (91th pct) · quality 89 · 4,380 contracts
pass Stable 0.85 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
note Our record on ABCL is mixed 37% hit rate on 930 closed calls · payoff 0.67×
What traded today · 62%
+27.2 pts
3,150 calls · 1,230 puts · bias +43.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+9.0 pts
88,460 call OI · 54,730 put OI · bias +23.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +15.91% · tape +4.3 · corr -0.49
▼ low −30.1 ◆ +72.1 in a day ● peak +58 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-11 $15 $11 Over 30 days, price has risen 15.91% while the tape has barely moved (+4.3). They agree.
37% hit rate · 930 closed
11 Oct · 4h
$12.55 → $12.55
+0.00% flat
8 Oct · 4h
$12.83 → $12.83
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$13.74 → $13.74
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$13.74 → $13.74
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $7 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ABCL
What is behind today’s +36.1?
The composite has held within 0.5 points of +36.1 across the last 8 sessions.+27.2 from volume and +9.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 12:44 method · 62/38
Compare with PACB Why is our ABCL record what it is? What’s the $7 wall?