ADI Analog Devices Inc
$405.19 · +0.00% vs $405.19 close · scored 07:32 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 68/100
What changed
Composite weakened 1.8 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 68/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+26.7 composite┆ +28.4 yesterday (−1.8) +19.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
68 / 100 · top 17% today
729 contracts · quality 86 · stability 0.86
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+16.2 pts
460 calls · 63.1% 269 puts
bias +26.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+10.4 pts
9,180 call OI · 63.7% 5,233 put OI
bias +27.4 × 0.38
Equals
+26.7
61% of the score comes from today’s volume, 39% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +11.28% · tape +36.4 · corr 0.05
▼ low −6.6 ◆ +21.1 in a day ● peak +28 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $421 $349 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 11.28% while the tape has firmed 36.4 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 68 (83th pct) · quality 86 · 729 contracts
pass Stable 0.86 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
pass Tape has led price tape has led ADI’s price by 1 day (r=-0.33, n=51)
against Our record on ADI is poor 25% hit rate on 701 closed calls · payoff 1.61×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $405.19 highlighted. The $392.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,595). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
6 Oct · 4h
$419.10 → $419.10
+0.00% flat
5 Oct · 4h
$417.15 → $417.15
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$417.15 → $417.15
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$417.05 → $417.05
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 384 of these 701 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 49.12 · fwd 24.01 Beta 1.282
52w $223.47–$445.91 IV rank —
Ask about ADI answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +7 to +27 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +7.3 on 3 Oct, then rose to +28.4 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $417.05 to $417.05. It’s at +26.7 now.+16.2 from volume and +10.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 07:32 method · 62/38
Compare with INTC Why is our ADI record what it is? What’s the $392.5 wall?
What our data projects
+0.42 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#87 of 635 · helped by quality, confidence, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $392.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Analog Devices Inc · Semiconductors
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+26.7 ┆ +28.4 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +27
+16.2 volume · 63% calls+10.4 OI · 64% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +21.1 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $421 $349 Price +11.28%, tape +36.4 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 68 (83th pct) · quality 86 · 729 contracts
pass Stable 0.86 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
against Our record on ADI is poor 25% hit rate on 701 closed calls · payoff 1.61×
What traded today · 62%
+16.2 pts
460 calls · 269 puts · bias +26.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+10.4 pts
9,180 call OI · 5,233 put OI · bias +27.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +11.28% · tape +36.4 · corr 0.05
▼ low −6.6 ◆ +21.1 in a day ● peak +28 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $421 $349 Over 30 days, price has risen 11.28% while the tape has firmed 36.4 points. They agree.
25% hit rate · 701 closed
6 Oct · 4h
$419.10 → $419.10
+0.00% flat
5 Oct · 4h
$417.15 → $417.15
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$417.15 → $417.15
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$417.05 → $417.05
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $392.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ADI
Why did the score rise from +7 to +27 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +7.3 on 3 Oct, then rose to +28.4 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $417.05 to $417.05. It’s at +26.7 now.+16.2 from volume and +10.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 07:32 method · 62/38
Compare with INTC Why is our ADI record what it is? What’s the $392.5 wall?