ADP
ADP
$280.32 · scored 04:20 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 58/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 58/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+15.4 composite
Evidence
58 / 100 · top 33% today
394 contracts · quality 75 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.98% · n=6,953
What traded today · weight 62%
+11.6 pts
234 calls · 59.4%160 puts
bias +18.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+3.8 pts
3,288 call OI · 55.0%2,695 put OI
bias +9.9 × 0.38
Equals
+15.4
76% of the score comes from today’s volume, 24% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ADP today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 58 (67th pct) · quality 75 · 394 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidmildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.98% avg, n=6,953
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on ADP
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $280.32 highlighted. The $270 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,582). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on ADP yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
ADP
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+15.4evidence 58
hasn’t paid −0.98% · n=6,953
Why it’s +15
+11.6 volume · 59% calls+3.8 OI · 55% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 58 (67th pct) · quality 75 · 394 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.98% avg, n=6,953
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on ADP
What traded today · 62%
+11.6 pts
234 calls · 160 puts · bias +18.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+3.8 pts
3,288 call OI · 2,695 put OI · bias +9.9
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $270 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about ADP
Not enough tape history on ADP for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.