AFL AFL
$120.27 · scored 01:42 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 58/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 58/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+69.5 composite
Evidence
58 / 100 · top 28% today
634 contracts · quality 75 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=73,379
What traded today · weight 62%
+46.2 pts
553 calls · 87.2% 81 puts
bias +74.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+23.4 pts
2,125 call OI · 80.7% 507 put OI
bias +61.5 × 0.38
Equals
+69.5
66% of the score comes from today’s volume, 34% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring AFL today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 58 (72th pct) · quality 75 · 634 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=73,379
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on AFL
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $120.27 highlighted. The $122 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 359). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
21 Oct · 4h
$120.27 → $120.27
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
AFL
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+69.5 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=73,379
Why it’s +70
+46.2 volume · 87% calls+23.4 OI · 81% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 58 (72th pct) · quality 75 · 634 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=73,379
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on AFL
What traded today · 62%
+46.2 pts
553 calls · 81 puts · bias +74.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+23.4 pts
2,125 call OI · 507 put OI · bias +61.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$120.27 → $120.27
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $122 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about AFL
Not enough tape history on AFL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our AFL record what it is? What’s the $122 wall?