AGIO
AGIO
$37.18 · +0.00% vs $37.18 close · scored 03:16 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 60/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 60/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+58.3 composite
Evidence
60 / 100 · top 23% today
1,592 contracts · quality 70 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.14% · n=59,823
What traded today · weight 62%
+31.2 pts
1,197 calls · 75.2%395 puts
bias +50.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+27.1 pts
36,737 call OI · 85.7%6,154 put OI
bias +71.3 × 0.38
Equals
+58.3
54% of the score comes from today’s volume, 46% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring AGIO today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 60 (77th pct) · quality 70 · 1,592 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 36
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.14% avg, n=59,823
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on AGIO
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $37.18 highlighted. The $30 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 29,362).
05Our record on AGIO
Proof
22 Oct · 4h
$37.18 → $37.18
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
AGIO
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+58.3evidence 60
hasn’t paid −0.14% · n=59,823
Why it’s +58
+31.2 volume · 75% calls+27.1 OI · 86% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 60 (77th pct) · quality 70 · 1,592 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 36
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.14% avg, n=59,823
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on AGIO
What traded today · 62%
+31.2 pts
1,197 calls · 395 puts · bias +50.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+27.1 pts
36,737 call OI · 6,154 put OI · bias +71.3
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$37.18 → $37.18
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $30 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about AGIO
Not enough tape history on AGIO for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.