AGO
AGO
$69.46 · +0.00% vs $69.46 close · scored 05:20 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 53/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 53/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+9.3 composite
Evidence
53 / 100 · top 41% today
945 contracts · quality 65 · stability 0.00
neutral · +0.07% · n=5,451
What traded today · weight 62%
−1.8 pts
459 calls · 48.6%486 puts
bias −2.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+11.1 pts
4,488 call OI · 64.6%2,459 put OI
bias +29.2 × 0.38
Equals
+9.3
14% of the score comes from today’s volume, 86% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring AGO today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 53 (59th pct) · quality 65 · 945 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
noteNeutral reads make no callneutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.07% avg, n=5,451
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on AGO
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $69.46 highlighted. The $80 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,497).
25 Oct · 4h
$69.46 → $69.46
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
AGO
Neutral, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+9.3evidence 53
neutral · +0.07% · n=5,451
Why it’s +9
−1.8 volume · 49% calls+11.1 OI · 65% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 53 (59th pct) · quality 65 · 945 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
noteNeutral reads make no call
neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.07% avg, n=5,451
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on AGO
What traded today · 62%
−1.8 pts
459 calls · 486 puts · bias −2.9
What’s on the books · 38%
+11.1 pts
4,488 call OI · 2,459 put OI · bias +29.2
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
25 Oct · 4h
$69.46 → $69.46
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $80 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about AGO
Not enough tape history on AGO for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.