AJG AJG
$227.10 · scored 11:47 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 53/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 53/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+27.1 composite
Evidence
53 / 100 · top 57% today
957 contracts · quality 75 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.59% · n=219,620
What traded today · weight 62%
+25.5 pts
675 calls · 70.5% 282 puts
bias +41.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+1.7 pts
226 call OI · 52.2% 207 put OI
bias +4.4 × 0.38
Equals
+27.1
94% of the score comes from today’s volume, 6% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring AJG today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 53 (43th pct) · quality 75 · 957 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 25
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.59% avg, n=219,620
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on AJG
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $227.10 highlighted. The $210 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 154). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on AJG yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
AJG
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+27.1 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.59% · n=219,620
Why it’s +27
+25.5 volume · 71% calls+1.7 OI · 52% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 53 (43th pct) · quality 75 · 957 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 25
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.59% avg, n=219,620
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on AJG
What traded today · 62%
+25.5 pts
675 calls · 282 puts · bias +41.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+1.7 pts
226 call OI · 207 put OI · bias +4.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $210 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about AJG
Not enough tape history on AJG for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our AJG record what it is? What’s the $210 wall?