AJG
AJG
$227.10 · scored 11:47 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 53/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 53/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+27.1 composite
Evidence
53 / 100 · top 57% today
957 contracts · quality 75 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.59% · n=219,620
What traded today · weight 62%
+25.5 pts
675 calls · 70.5%282 puts
bias +41.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+1.7 pts
226 call OI · 52.2%207 put OI
bias +4.4 × 0.38
Equals
+27.1
94% of the score comes from today’s volume, 6% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring AJG today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 53 (43th pct) · quality 75 · 957 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 25
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.59% avg, n=219,620
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on AJG
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $227.10 highlighted. The $210 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 154). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on AJG yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
AJG
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+27.1evidence 53
hasn’t paid −0.59% · n=219,620
Why it’s +27
+25.5 volume · 71% calls+1.7 OI · 52% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 53 (43th pct) · quality 75 · 957 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 25
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.59% avg, n=219,620
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on AJG
What traded today · 62%
+25.5 pts
675 calls · 282 puts · bias +41.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+1.7 pts
226 call OI · 207 put OI · bias +4.4
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $210 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about AJG
Not enough tape history on AJG for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.