ALDX
ALDX
$0.68 · +0.00% vs $0.68 close · scored 19:34 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 43/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 43/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+55.9 composite
Evidence
43 / 100 · top 71% today
389 contracts · quality 52 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.02% · n=74,862
What traded today · weight 62%
+58.2 pts
377 calls · 96.9%12 puts
bias +93.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−2.3 pts
910 call OI · 47.0%1,026 put OI
bias −6.0 × 0.38
Equals
+55.9
96% of the score comes from today’s volume, 4% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ALDX today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 43 (29th pct) · quality 52 · 389 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.02% avg, n=74,862
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on ALDX
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $0.68 highlighted. The $1 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,364). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on ALDX
Proof
19 Oct · 4h
$0.68 → $0.68
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
ALDX
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+55.9evidence 43
hasn’t paid −0.02% · n=74,862
Why it’s +56
+58.2 volume · 97% calls−2.3 OI · 47% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 43 (29th pct) · quality 52 · 389 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.02% avg, n=74,862
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on ALDX
What traded today · 62%
+58.2 pts
377 calls · 12 puts · bias +93.8
What’s on the books · 38%
−2.3 pts
910 call OI · 1,026 put OI · bias −6.0
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
19 Oct · 4h
$0.68 → $0.68
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $1 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about ALDX
Not enough tape history on ALDX for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.