ALRM
ALRM
$59.54 · +0.00% vs $59.54 close · scored 03:16 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 52/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 52/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+41.7 composite
Evidence
52 / 100 · top 44% today
192 contracts · quality 60 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.14% · n=59,823
What traded today · weight 62%
+20.0 pts
127 calls · 66.1%65 puts
bias +32.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+21.7 pts
482 call OI · 78.5%132 put OI
bias +57.0 × 0.38
Equals
+41.7
48% of the score comes from today’s volume, 52% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ALRM today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 52 (56th pct) · quality 60 · 192 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.14% avg, n=59,823
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on ALRM
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $59.54 highlighted. The $60 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 254).
05Our record on ALRM
Proof
22 Oct · 4h
$59.54 → $59.54
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
ALRM
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+41.7evidence 52
hasn’t paid −0.14% · n=59,823
Why it’s +42
+20.0 volume · 66% calls+21.7 OI · 79% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 52 (56th pct) · quality 60 · 192 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.14% avg, n=59,823
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on ALRM
What traded today · 62%
+20.0 pts
127 calls · 65 puts · bias +32.3
What’s on the books · 38%
+21.7 pts
482 call OI · 132 put OI · bias +57.0
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$59.54 → $59.54
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $60 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about ALRM
Not enough tape history on ALRM for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.