AMD Advanced Micro Devices Inc
$620.68 · +0.00% vs $620.68 close · scored 14:29 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 74/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 74/100
For the read
evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+2.4 composite−3.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
74 / 100 · top 9% today
329,640 contracts · quality 84 · stability 0.00
neutral · +1.15% · n=1,055
What traded today · weight 62%
+7.0 pts
183,535 calls · 55.7% 146,105 puts
bias +11.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−4.6 pts
117,172 call OI · 43.9% 149,752 put OI
bias −12.2 × 0.38
Equals
+2.4
60% of the score comes from today’s volume, 40% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +22.73% · tape −12.5 · corr -0.65
● peak +12 ◆ +8.8 in a day ▼ low −2.4 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $634 $457 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 22.73% while the tape has faded 12.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 74 (91th pct) · quality 84 · 329,640 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · high liquidity → +1.15% avg, n=1,055
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led AMD’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.49, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on AMD is poor 31% hit rate on 755 closed calls · payoff 1.36×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $620.68 highlighted. The $640 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 11,905). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$620.68 → $620.68
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$620.68 → $620.68
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$620.68 → $620.68
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$620.68 → $620.68
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 378 of these 755 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 160.36 · fwd 46.19 Beta 2.545
52w $163.14–$645.46 IV rank —
Ask about AMD answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +6 to +2 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +5.7 on 2 Oct, then fell to −2.4 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $615.73 to $631.23. It’s at +2.4 now.+7.0 from volume and −4.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:29 method · 62/38
Compare with INTC Why is our AMD record what it is? What’s the $640 wall?
What our data projects
+0.49 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#64 of 635 · helped by confidence, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $640 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Advanced Micro Devices Inc · Semiconductors
Neutral, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+2.4 evidence
neutral · +1.15% · n=1,055
Why it’s +2
+7.0 volume · 56% calls−4.6 OI · 44% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +8.8 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $634 $457 Price +22.73%, tape −12.5 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 74 (91th pct) · quality 84 · 329,640 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · high liquidity → +1.15% avg, n=1,055
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led AMD’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.49, n=50)
What traded today · 62%
+7.0 pts
183,535 calls · 146,105 puts · bias +11.4
What’s on the books · 38%
−4.6 pts
117,172 call OI · 149,752 put OI · bias −12.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +22.73% · tape −12.5 · corr -0.65
● peak +12 ◆ +8.8 in a day ▼ low −2.4 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $634 $457 Over 30 days, price has risen 22.73% while the tape has faded 12.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
31% hit rate · 755 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$620.68 → $620.68
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$620.68 → $620.68
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$620.68 → $620.68
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$620.68 → $620.68
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $640 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about AMD
Why did the score drop from +6 to +2 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +5.7 on 2 Oct, then fell to −2.4 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $615.73 to $631.23. It’s at +2.4 now.+7.0 from volume and −4.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:29 method · 62/38
Compare with INTC Why is our AMD record what it is? What’s the $640 wall?