AMT American Tower Corp
$178.98 · +7.35% vs $166.73 close · scored 15:49 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 65/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 2.5 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 65/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+21.1 composite┆ +18.7 yesterday (+2.5) +35.9 vs a week ago
Evidence
65 / 100 · top 26% today
2,925 contracts · quality 84 · stability 0.73
hasn’t paid −1.11% · n=9,499
What traded today · weight 62%
+18.9 pts
1,909 calls · 65.3% 1,016 puts
bias +30.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+2.2 pts
10,936 call OI · 52.9% 9,743 put OI
bias +5.8 × 0.38
Equals
+21.1
90% of the score comes from today’s volume, 10% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.12% · tape −16.8 · corr 0.45
▼ low −27.9 ● peak +55 ◆ +66.8 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $179 $161 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.12% while the tape has faded 16.8 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 65 (74th pct) · quality 84 · 2,925 contracts
note Jumpy 0.73 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 34
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.11% avg, n=9,499
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led AMT’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.17, n=51)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on AMT is poor 15% hit rate on 1700 closed calls · payoff 1.58×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $178.98 highlighted. The $170 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 3,188). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
15%
hit rate · 1700 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$178.98 → $178.98
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$166.73 → $178.98
+7.35% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$166.73 → $178.98
+7.35% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$166.73 → $166.73
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1335 of these 1700 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 22.18 · fwd 24.71 Beta 0.878
52w $160.06–$196.08 IV rank —
Ask about AMT answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −15 to +21 this week?
FlowDesk
It moved over several days. The composite was −0.8 on 7 Oct, then rose to +18.7 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $162.20 to $166.18. It’s at +21.1 now.+18.9 from volume and +2.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 15:49 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our AMT record what it is? What’s the $170 wall?
What our data projects
−0.19 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#394 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $170 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
American Tower Corp · Real Estate
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+21.1 ┆ +18.7 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −1.11% · n=9,499
Why it’s +21
+18.9 volume · 65% calls+2.2 OI · 53% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +66.8 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $179 $161 Price −5.12%, tape −16.8 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 65 (74th pct) · quality 84 · 2,925 contracts
note Jumpy 0.73 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 34
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.11% avg, n=9,499
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led AMT’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.17, n=51)
What traded today · 62%
+18.9 pts
1,909 calls · 1,016 puts · bias +30.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+2.2 pts
10,936 call OI · 9,743 put OI · bias +5.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.12% · tape −16.8 · corr 0.45
▼ low −27.9 ● peak +55 ◆ +66.8 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $179 $161 Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.12% while the tape has faded 16.8 points. They agree.
15% hit rate · 1700 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$178.98 → $178.98
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$166.73 → $178.98
+7.35% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$166.73 → $178.98
+7.35% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$166.73 → $166.73
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $170 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about AMT
Why did the score rise from −15 to +21 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was −0.8 on 7 Oct, then rose to +18.7 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $162.20 to $166.18. It’s at +21.1 now.+18.9 from volume and +2.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 15:49 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our AMT record what it is? What’s the $170 wall?