CF has the strongest read; APD has the most behind it.
Both lean bullish. The difference is evidence and record: APD’s read rests on 370 contracts but our 4h record on it is 6%; CF’s bucket hasn’t paid historically.
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| The read | Mildly bullish | Mildly bullish |
| −100 · 0 · +100 | ||
| Composite | +22.1 | +22.7 |
| Evidence | 56 | 56 |
| Quality | 84 | 78 |
| Price | $278.38 | $111.54 |
| Contracts today | 370 | 3,410 |
| Calibration | hasn’t paid −0.25% · n=9,682 | hasn’t paid −1.11% · n=9,499 |
| 30d tape (ink) vs price (dashed) | ||
| Our record here, 4h | 6% of 1,605 checked | 24% of 424 checked |
02
Tape, 43 days, same axis
APDCFtape_history · hourly, daily close shown
All values from the same rows as each stock page (stock_scores, tape_history, score_outcomes, tape calibration). Compare keeps the stock-page glyphs so nothing needs relearning.