APPS Digital Turbine Inc
$10.43 · −3.25% vs $10.78 close · scored 07:42 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 58/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 58/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+28.5 composite−36.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
58 / 100 · top 42% today
298 contracts · quality 53 · stability 0.00
has paid +31.94% · n=11,250
What traded today · weight 62%
+8.7 pts
170 calls · 57.0% 128 puts
bias +14.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+19.7 pts
9,594 call OI · 76.0% 3,035 put OI
bias +51.9 × 0.38
Equals
+28.5
31% of the score comes from today’s volume, 69% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.70% · tape −47.4 · corr 0.43
● peak +68 ▼ low −0.2 ◆ +65.2 in a day 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-09 10-10 $12 $10 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.70% while the tape has faded 47.4 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 58 (58th pct) · quality 53 · 298 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → +31.94% avg, n=11,250
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led APPS’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.17, n=51)
against Our record on APPS is poor 28% hit rate on 711 closed calls · payoff 2.71×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $10.43 highlighted. The $12 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 3,589). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on APPS Proof 10 Oct · 4h
$10.43 → $10.43
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$10.43 → $10.43
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$10.43 → $10.43
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$10.43 → $10.43
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 333 of these 711 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — · fwd 15.00 Beta 2.928
52w $2.74–$15.34 IV rank —
Ask about APPS answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +65 to +28 this week?
FlowDesk
It moved over several days. The composite was −0.2 on 7 Oct, then rose to +65.1 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $10.49 to $10.63. It’s at +28.5 now.+8.7 from volume and +19.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 07:42 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our APPS record what it is? What’s the $12 wall?
What our data projects
+0.28 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#129 of 635 · helped by price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $12 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Digital Turbine Inc · Technology
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+28.5 evidence
has paid +31.94% · n=11,250
Why it’s +28
+8.7 volume · 57% calls+19.7 OI · 76% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +65.2 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-09 10-10 $12 $10 Price −7.70%, tape −47.4 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 58 (58th pct) · quality 53 · 298 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led APPS’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.17, n=51)
against Our record on APPS is poor 28% hit rate on 711 closed calls · payoff 2.71×
What traded today · 62%
+8.7 pts
170 calls · 128 puts · bias +14.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+19.7 pts
9,594 call OI · 3,035 put OI · bias +51.9
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.70% · tape −47.4 · corr 0.43
● peak +68 ▼ low −0.2 ◆ +65.2 in a day 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-09 10-10 $12 $10 Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.70% while the tape has faded 47.4 points. They agree.
28% hit rate · 711 closed
10 Oct · 4h
$10.43 → $10.43
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$10.43 → $10.43
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$10.43 → $10.43
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$10.43 → $10.43
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $12 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about APPS
Why did the score drop from +65 to +28 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was −0.2 on 7 Oct, then rose to +65.1 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $10.49 to $10.63. It’s at +28.5 now.+8.7 from volume and +19.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 07:42 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our APPS record what it is? What’s the $12 wall?