ARXS ARXS
$53.72 · scored 08:30 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+1.7 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 73% today
825 contracts · quality 60 · stability 0.00
neutral · −0.87% · n=1,502
What traded today · weight 62%
+36.4 pts
655 calls · 79.4% 170 puts
bias +58.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−34.8 pts
5 call OI · 4.3% 112 put OI
bias −91.5 × 0.38
Equals
+1.7
51% of the score comes from today’s volume, 49% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ARXS today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 42 (27th pct) · quality 60 · 825 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.87% avg, n=1,502
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on ARXS
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $53.72 highlighted. The $35 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 94).
05 Our record on ARXS Proof 20 Oct · 4h
$53.72 → $53.72
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
ARXS
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+1.7 evidence
neutral · −0.87% · n=1,502
Why it’s +2
+36.4 volume · 79% calls−34.8 OI · 4% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 42 (27th pct) · quality 60 · 825 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.87% avg, n=1,502
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on ARXS
What traded today · 62%
+36.4 pts
655 calls · 170 puts · bias +58.8
What’s on the books · 38%
−34.8 pts
5 call OI · 112 put OI · bias −91.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
20 Oct · 4h
$53.72 → $53.72
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $35 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ARXS
Not enough tape history on ARXS for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our ARXS record what it is? What’s the $35 wall?