AVA
AVA
$36.50 · scored 01:43 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 30/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 30/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−49.1 composite
Evidence
30 / 100 · top 96% today
24 contracts · quality 23 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.42% · n=13,233
What traded today · weight 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 0.0%24 puts
bias −100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+12.9 pts
67 call OI · 67.0%33 put OI
bias +34.0 × 0.38
Equals
−49.1
83% of the score comes from today’s volume, 17% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring AVA today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 30 (4th pct) · quality 23 · 24 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.42% avg, n=13,233
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on AVA
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $36.50 highlighted. The $40 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 55).
21 Oct · 4h
$36.50 → $36.50
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
AVA
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−49.1evidence 30
has paid −0.42% · n=13,233
Why it’s −49
−62.0 volume · 0% calls+12.9 OI · 67% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 30 (4th pct) · quality 23 · 24 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on AVA
What traded today · 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 24 puts · bias −100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+12.9 pts
67 call OI · 33 put OI · bias +34.0
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$36.50 → $36.50
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $40 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about AVA
Not enough tape history on AVA for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.