AVAV
AeroVironment Inc Aerospace & Defense BullishWhat built this score
| +36 | +mild | ||
| bands at ±15 / ±40 | |||
| 65% calls | +15pp | ||
| 34,354 total | |||
| 70% calls | +bullish | ||
| 5,721 vol | |||
| 0 | noisy | ||
| 7d rolling | |||
| 66 | med | ||
| qual 79 | |||
Why this read
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OI bias65% calls +15pp34,354 total
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Vol bias70% calls +bullish5,721 vol
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Stability0 noisy7d rolling
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Confidence66 medqual 79
Price vs tape value
Circles mark divergence — where tape and price moved in opposite directions.
Lead/lag relationship
The visual behind the Lead/lag tile above: this name's price return on a given day, plotted against the tape's change exactly 2 day(s) later (r=0.20, n=397). Points near the dashed diagonal are days where that lagged relationship held; scattered points are where it didn't.
Model forecast — evidence & sentiment
Which real recent days the model leaned on most for this forecast (bold = highest, a rough proxy for influence, not an exact attribution):
| Date | Spot | Attention |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | 146.30 | 13.6% |
| 2026-09-12 | 146.71 | 15.9% |
| 2026-09-13 | 146.71 | 18.7% |
| 2026-09-14 | 153.45 | 19.4% |
| 2026-09-15 | 152.93 | 17.4% |
| 2026-09-16 | 157.97 | 14.9% |
This symbol's own real realized volatility (recent choppiness the model reads, capped at maximally volatile): 0.39
Real, whole-market context (not specific to this symbol): regime is RISK OFF · VIX 16.09 · breadth 80% as of 2026-09-17 09:11:33 (full detail →).
Options data
Public delayed tape used for the composite score · source: nasdaq.
69.8% calls · 30.2% puts
65.1% calls · 34.9% puts
⚠ Near-dated expiry in the mix — OI can be noisier close to expiration.
Dealer gamma exposure
What market makers are structurally likely to do about the current options positioning — not what already traded, but what dealers are on the hook to hedge as price moves. Positive GEX tends to dampen volatility (dealers sell rallies, buy dips); negative GEX tends to amplify it. Real strikes and greeks via Massive, computed on demand.
Money flow
Inst 79 · Retail/opt 59 · bullish
Updated 2026-09-13 12:33:44
Options volume profile
Call/put volume and open interest by strike, busiest strikes first — this symbol's own options tape, not the underlying share's traded volume (this app only tracks the underlying's daily close, not intraday trades).
| Strike | Call vol | Put vol | Total OI | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $250.00 | 0 | 0 | 603 | |
| $240.00 | 23 | 0 | 2,063 | |
| $220.00 | 1 | 0 | 815 | |
| $210.00 | 3 | 0 | 1,289 | |
| $200.00 | 25 | 0 | 1,058 | |
| $190.00 | 34 | 15 | 791 | |
| $180.00 | 168 | 10 | 960 | |
| $175.00 | 223 | 0 | 1,710 | |
| $170.00 | 308 | 35 | 1,439 | |
| $165.00 | 265 | 2 | 1,175 | |
| $160.00 | 1,193 | 46 | 1,964 | |
| $155.00 | 535 | 119 | 1,330 | |
| $150.00 | 299 | 135 | 1,972 | |
| $149.00 | 38 | 210 | 361 | |
| $146.00 | 23 | 34 | 522 | |
| $145.00 | 58 | 209 | 954 | |
| $140.00 | 45 | 122 | 1,751 | |
| $135.00 | 2 | 136 | 664 | |
| $130.00 | 13 | 98 | 1,190 | |
| $125.00 | 1 | 37 | 667 |
Earnings backtest
No earnings backtest yet. The cron will populate this once AVAV has enough reported quarters.
Fundamentals & ownership
Recent history
200 points (14d) · 398 total on record
Historical earnings
The last 4 reported quarters — real prints vs. estimate, and how the stock reacted.
| Date | EPS est. | EPS reported | Surprise | Revenue est. | Revenue reported | Price reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 0.29 | 0.59 | +104.01% | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 1.49 | 1.84 | +23.18% | — | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | 0.71 | 0.64 | -9.26% | — | — | — |
| 2025-12-31 | 0.79 | 0.44 | -44.56% | — | — | — |