AVGO Broadcom Inc
$360.14 · −0.53% vs $362.05 close · scored 23:01 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 92/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 4.6 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 92/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+27.9 composite┆ +23.3 yesterday (+4.6) +3.8 vs a week ago
Evidence
92 / 100 · top 1% today
223,120 contracts · quality 95 · stability 0.91
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
What traded today · weight 62%
+17.8 pts
143,581 calls · 64.4% 79,539 puts
bias +28.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+10.1 pts
98,544 call OI · 63.3% 57,239 put OI
bias +26.5 × 0.38
Equals
+27.9
64% of the score comes from today’s volume, 36% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.77% · tape +2.1 · corr -0.08
● peak +35 ◆ −7.9 in a day ▼ low +23.2 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-08 $362 $344 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.77% while the tape has barely moved (+2.1). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 92 (99th pct) · quality 95 · 223,120 contracts
pass Stable 0.91 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.17% avg, n=12,971
pass Tape has led price tape has led AVGO’s price by 3 days (r=-0.38, n=50)
against Our record on AVGO is poor 18% hit rate on 737 closed calls · payoff 0.41×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $360.14 highlighted. The $400 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 17,744). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on AVGO Proof 8 Oct · 4h
$360.14 → $360.14
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$355.14 → $355.14
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$355.14 → $355.14
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$347.51 → $347.51
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 366 of these 737 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 44.30 · fwd 19.01 Beta 1.494
52w $289.96–$495.00 IV rank —
Ask about AVGO answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +24 to +28 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +23.3 on 7 Oct, then rose to +27.9 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $362.05 to $362.05. It’s at +27.9 now.+17.8 from volume and +10.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 23:01 method · 62/38
Compare with INTC Why is our AVGO record what it is? What’s the $400 wall?
What our data projects
+0.18 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#178 of 635 · helped by quality, confidence, last day's move. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $400 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Broadcom Inc · Semiconductors
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+27.9 ┆ +23.3 yday evidence
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
Why it’s +28
+17.8 volume · 64% calls+10.1 OI · 63% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −7.9 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-08 $362 $344 Price −1.77%, tape +2.1 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 92 (99th pct) · quality 95 · 223,120 contracts
pass Stable 0.91 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against Our record on AVGO is poor 18% hit rate on 737 closed calls · payoff 0.41×
What traded today · 62%
+17.8 pts
143,581 calls · 79,539 puts · bias +28.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+10.1 pts
98,544 call OI · 57,239 put OI · bias +26.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.77% · tape +2.1 · corr -0.08
● peak +35 ◆ −7.9 in a day ▼ low +23.2 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-08 $362 $344 Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.77% while the tape has barely moved (+2.1). The two are drifting apart.
18% hit rate · 737 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$360.14 → $360.14
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$355.14 → $355.14
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$355.14 → $355.14
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$347.51 → $347.51
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $400 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about AVGO
Why did the score rise from +24 to +28 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +23.3 on 7 Oct, then rose to +27.9 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $362.05 to $362.05. It’s at +27.9 now.+17.8 from volume and +10.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 23:01 method · 62/38
Compare with INTC Why is our AVGO record what it is? What’s the $400 wall?