AWR
AWR
$83.14 · scored 01:43 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 43/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 43/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−87.2 composite
Evidence
43 / 100 · top 72% today
14 contracts · quality 25 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.42% · n=13,233
What traded today · weight 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 0.0%14 puts
bias −100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−25.2 pts
45 call OI · 16.8%223 put OI
bias −66.4 × 0.38
Equals
−87.2
71% of the score comes from today’s volume, 29% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring AWR today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 43 (28th pct) · quality 25 · 14 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.42% avg, n=13,233
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on AWR
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $83.14 highlighted. The $80 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 120).
21 Oct · 4h
$83.14 → $83.14
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
AWR
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−87.2evidence 43
has paid −0.42% · n=13,233
Why it’s −87
−62.0 volume · 0% calls−25.2 OI · 17% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 43 (28th pct) · quality 25 · 14 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on AWR
What traded today · 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 14 puts · bias −100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
−25.2 pts
45 call OI · 223 put OI · bias −66.4
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$83.14 → $83.14
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $80 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about AWR
Not enough tape history on AWR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.