AXSM
AXSM
$155.38 · scored 19:34 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 57/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 57/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+9.1 composite
Evidence
57 / 100 · top 30% today
2,600 contracts · quality 78 · stability 0.00
neutral · −2.07% · n=10,279
What traded today · weight 62%
+8.8 pts
1,484 calls · 57.1%1,116 puts
bias +14.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+0.3 pts
10,900 call OI · 50.4%10,718 put OI
bias +0.8 × 0.38
Equals
+9.1
96% of the score comes from today’s volume, 4% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring AXSM today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 57 (70th pct) · quality 78 · 2,600 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 55
noteNeutral reads make no callneutral · balanced · low liquidity → −2.07% avg, n=10,279
noteToo few of our calls checked0 closed calls on AXSM
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $155.38 highlighted. The $160 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 4,813).
05Our record on AXSM
Proof We haven’t checked a call on AXSM yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
AXSM
Neutral, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+9.1evidence 57
neutral · −2.07% · n=10,279
Why it’s +9
+8.8 volume · 57% calls+0.3 OI · 50% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 57 (70th pct) · quality 78 · 2,600 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 55
noteNeutral reads make no call
neutral · balanced · low liquidity → −2.07% avg, n=10,279
noteToo few of our calls checked
0 closed calls on AXSM
What traded today · 62%
+8.8 pts
1,484 calls · 1,116 puts · bias +14.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+0.3 pts
10,900 call OI · 10,718 put OI · bias +0.8
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $160 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about AXSM
Not enough tape history on AXSM for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.