AXSM AXSM
$155.38 · scored 19:34 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 57/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 57/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+9.1 composite
Evidence
57 / 100 · top 30% today
2,600 contracts · quality 78 · stability 0.00
neutral · −2.07% · n=10,279
What traded today · weight 62%
+8.8 pts
1,484 calls · 57.1% 1,116 puts
bias +14.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+0.3 pts
10,900 call OI · 50.4% 10,718 put OI
bias +0.8 × 0.38
Equals
+9.1
96% of the score comes from today’s volume, 4% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring AXSM today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 57 (70th pct) · quality 78 · 2,600 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 55
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → −2.07% avg, n=10,279
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on AXSM
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $155.38 highlighted. The $160 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 4,813).
05 Our record on AXSM Proof We haven’t checked a call on AXSM yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
AXSM
Neutral, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+9.1 evidence
neutral · −2.07% · n=10,279
Why it’s +9
+8.8 volume · 57% calls+0.3 OI · 50% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 57 (70th pct) · quality 78 · 2,600 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 55
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → −2.07% avg, n=10,279
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on AXSM
What traded today · 62%
+8.8 pts
1,484 calls · 1,116 puts · bias +14.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+0.3 pts
10,900 call OI · 10,718 put OI · bias +0.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $160 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about AXSM
Not enough tape history on AXSM for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our AXSM record what it is? What’s the $160 wall?